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Daily Intelligence Briefing

Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Identifying Change-Driven Investment Themes – Five sections, explained here.

The Daily Intelligence Briefing is published by McAlinden Research Partners. The report is provided to Hedge Connection blog readers once per week for free. Below is just one of the five sections that delivers Change-Driven Investment Themes everyday.

THEME ALERT: AN ACTIVE MRP THEME

I. Today’s Thematic Investment Idea

A deep dive into a market driver with alpha generating potential.

European Nuclear Power Investments on the Rise, EU Green Energy Taxonomy Could Boost Uranium

Summary: From the UK to Hungary, investments in nuclear power infrastructure and research are on the rise. Following a letter from 10 member states, headed up by France, the European Commission is set to add nuclear to the EU’s taxonomy of green energy, expected to direct billions of dollars of investment toward reliable, zero-carbon sources of electricity. 

A new report from Rystad sees spending on nuclear energy capacity rising to more than $90 billion throughout the next two years, setting the stage for broader growth in large and small-scale reactors through the end of this decade. This wave of investment could continue boosting uranium futures.

Related ETF: North Shore Global Uranium Mining ETF (URNM), Global X Uranium ETF (URA)

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Amid a major energy crisis, driven by gas and coal shortages across the continent, several European nations continue to march toward a nuclear-powered renaissance.

As MRP noted in 2021, French President Emmanuel Macron was forced to make a U-turn on his government’s shift away from nuclear energy. Along with generating utility-scale electricity, Macron noted France’s nuclear plants would also be a major asset for producing green hydrogen via electrolysis. MRP has highlighted the huge potential of hydrogen to revolutionize the renewable energy mix as well, with total investment into projects amounting to an estimated $500 billion through 2030.

The French government will spend $1.13 billion on nuclear power R&D by 2030, focusing on the development of a new generation of small modular reactors (SMRs) to replace parts of the existing fleet that supplies around 70% of the country’s electricity. The UK government has also put $286 million behind the development of SMRs. Per The National, British aircraft engine maker Rolls-Royce has unveiled a competition in England and Wales for regional authorities to bid on a main location for an SMR factory worth $270 million. Rolls-Royce SMRs are capable of generating enough power for 450,000 homes or industries.

In August 2021, MRP covered the accelerating development of SMR technology in the US, noting that several US utilities and power consortia ― including Energy Northwest, Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems (UAMPS), and PacifiCorp, part of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. ― had entered into partnerships with manufacturers to build small reactors.

Topping off their re-commitment to nuclear power, France has also headed up a group of ten European Union (EU) countries that recently asked the European Commission to recognize nuclear power as a low-carbon energy source that should be part of the bloc’s decades-long transition towards climate neutrality. According to a draft plan of the Commission’s “taxonomy” on green energy projects, nuclear is expected to be included in the final proposal – slated to be introduced next month. The taxonomy is a critical part of EU plans to direct massive low-carbon investments to meet its goal of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

Per WIRED, the Hungarian government has signed off on deals to construct two nuclear reactors, in addition to the country’s four existing ones. The Czech Republic government also has plans to build at least two new nuclear reactors, while the Polish government wants to build the country’s first nuclear reactor in a bid to move away from its heavy dependence on coal. MINING.com reports Poland’s KGHM Polska Miedz SA, the $7 billion state-controlled copper company, signed a preliminary deal with US-based NuScale Power LLC to build small-scale reactors.

A new report from Rystad Energy notes there will be more than $90 billion spent on nuclear energy investments over the next two years. Further, there are 52 reactors under construction across 19 countries that will eventually add 54 gigawatts of installed capacity around the world.

Though there has been some pushback on nuclear’s inclusion in Europe’s green energy future from EU member states like Germany, Austria, and Spain, based on the perceived risks and costs associated, nuclear power remains a zero-carbon source of energy that is already critical to their grids and others across Europe.

Electricite de France SA (EDF), a French nuclear energy operator, has become the continent’s largest electricity exporter, covering excess electricity needs during peak demand throughout the continent. This year, however, Bloomberg notes EDF is set to produce the smallest amount of atomic power in three decades.

That dwindling export capacity comes at a time when Europe is struggling through one of its worst energy crises in history. European power prices broke records last year, rising over 200% in Germany, France, Spain and the UK and 470% in the Nordic region. Many EU states have been content to build out renewable energy capacity in the form of wind and solar, but those power sources are subject to unpredictable weather patterns and have exacerbated the energy shortfall at times. Just this week, Bloomberg reported that German electricity prices jumped to their highest level in more than a month as output from thousands of wind turbines plunged.

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