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Today’s Featured Topic Focusing in on 3 Industries Feeling the Laser Tech Transformation Summary: Laser technologies have begun playing a larger role across many differentiated industries. Highlighted in this report are 3 fields with strong potential for laser-powered disruption: Aerospace & Defense, Medical Technology, and Advanced Manufacturing. Aerospace & Defense Lasers have begun to play larger and larger roles in military modernization. To defend against enemy drones, the U.S. has already deployed more than 60 counter-drone systems or products that use radar, radio frequency, electro-optical and acoustic detecting and tracking to intercept enemy drones and either stop them, hijack their communication link or destroy them with lasers or projectiles. Boeing, for instance, has leveraged its expertise in high-energy weapons to develop the company’s truck-mounted High Energy Laser Mobile Demonstrator (HEL MD) for use against air and ground targets, as well as a compact laser weapons system for use by US Marines. The company also developed the YAL-1 Airborne Laser Testbed, which was a megawatt-class chemical oxygen iodine laser (COIL) mounted inside a modified Boeing 747-400F jetliner. Other US aerospace giants, like Lockheed Martin, are involved in the U.S. Air Force Laser Advancements for Next-generation Compact Environments (LANCE) project to develop a compact, ruggedized, high-power laser to defend tactical aircraft flying at or above the speed of sound from enemy aircraft and missiles. In an over-the-top bid to catch up with the US military’s advanced laser technologies, China has begun directing more than 20 research institutes and universities to expand development of a satellite with a powerful laser for anti-submarine warfare. Researchers hope the satellite laser will be able to pinpoint a target as far as 500 meters below the surface. For reference, sunlight can penetrate no more than 200 metres below the ocean surface, but a powerful artificial laser beam can be 1 billion times brighter than the sun. Although a deployable weapon like this will not be developed any time soon, it is a sign of things to come in the future as nations undoubtedly begin weaponizing space. Before laser-equipped satellites are inevitably weaponized, however, they will have many more peaceful applications in the interim. NASA plans to use their state of the art ICESat-2 satellite to map topographic changes in polar ice caps or the heights tree lines in forests and jungles across the globe. Meanwhile, Boeing has raised $10 million for BridgeSat, a Denver-based satellite communications company that aims to use laser technology to enable secure, high-bandwidth data transmission between satellites, other spacecraft, drones and high-altitude aircraft. Medical Technology Laser eye surgery has become a very popular treatment for vision impairments, with thousands of patients “going under the beam” for laser-assisted in situ keratomileusis (LASIK) procedures every year. The procedure should continue to become more safe and advanced as this year’s Nobel Prize in Physics was awarded to a team of scientists responsible for the invention of optical tweezers, a technique that uses focused laser beams to hold and manipulate microscopic objects, including biological samples, as might be done with tweezers. The prize-winning team’s chirped pulse amplification (CPA) method hugely boosts the power of laser pulses and could dramatically improve cancer treatment. Additionally, lasers are now being used in the healthcare industry for everything from pain management to cosmetic dermatology. Sufferers of chronic pain from arthritis and other joint and muscular conditions have now turned to low-level laser therapy. By using light energy to stimulate recovery, over 4,000 studies have demonstrated that laser therapy can be a solution for pain and inflammation. Hironic, a Korean skin care medical device developer, uses its laser-enabled AFit device to treat acne by penetrating deep into the dermal and subcutaneous layers, stimulating oil and moisture absorbtion. With bipolar RF and Cryogen Cooling Device (CCD), the laser generates a maximum thermal effect in sebaceous gland and dermis. Advanced Manufacturing Fiber laser manufacturing is one of the most innovative advanced manufacturing methods today. Candidates for fiber laser welding include components made of nickel and titanium-based aerospace alloys requiring control of the weld geometry and weld microstructure, particularly minimizing porosity and oxidation of the weld microstructure. In many aerospace applications, the fatigue properties of the weld are a critical design criterion. For this reason alone, designers nearly always specify that the weld surfaces be convex, or slightly crowned, to create a reinforcement of the weld. Fiber laser welding provides greatly enhanced control of the process, improving weld geometry (size, shape), microstructure, and therefore, less fatigue on the weld. The growth rate of fiber laser welding is second only to additive manufacturing (3D printing) among the many applications for high-power laser materials processing, according to a recent report of a study by Strategies Unlimited. And it just so happens that 3D printing is vastly improving with the addition of lasers, especially now that metal alloys are increasingly being utilized. BeAM Machines is using laser-assisted 3D printing to print stainless steel jet engine components. Using a nozzle-based approach that carries metal powder in a stream of argon gas, the powder exits at the tip of the nozzle as a high-powered laser fuses the material. Any material that can be laser welded can likely be used in this process. That includes titanium alloys, steel, nickel alloys, and cobalt alloys. They are also working on aluminum. Companies including Toshiba have also begun using laser welding in 3D printed cladding. Similarly, GE has begun applying apply additive manufacturing to components for its locomotives. If all goes according to plan, this could mean that in the next seven years GE Transportation will have an inventory of up to 250 3D printed train components. To do this, GE will leverage its specialty selective laser melting (SLM) and electron beam melting (EBM) to generate strong, reliable components. Lockheed Martin and the Office of Naval Research also continue to explore how to apply artificial intelligence to train multiaxis robots that use laser beams to independently oversee and optimize additive manufacturing of complex microstructures. Investors can gain exposure to several laser and photonics companies including IPG Photonics (IPGP), Coherent Inc. (COHR), and II-VI Inc. (IIVI). Although laser stocks have struggled so far in 2018 due to trade tensions driving weak performance and a sector sell off, after strong performance in prior years, the industry should be prepared for a comeback as more and more manufacturers of everything from jet engines to medical devices continue adding them into their products. Additionally, the iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and The 3D Printing ETF (PRNT) represent sectors that are also primed to feel the effects of the continued proliferation of laser technologies. We’ve also summarized the following articles related to this topic in the Manufacturing & Logistics section of today’s report.
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Chart: Lasers (IPGP, COHR, IIVI) vs Aerospace and Defense (ITA) vs 3D Printing (PRNT)
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Disruptive Change Updates
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Joe Mac’s Market Viewpoint |
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The U.S. capital markets had a challenging time in the first half of 2018. While the brouhaha about trade wars has been cited by experts as the cause of this year’s rise in volatility, MRP believes otherwise. Extended valuations, investor sentiment, portfolio leverage, an ageing bull market, inflation, and a Fed tightening cycle are all headwinds. In short, several large forces are at play and they will continue to pressure both equity and bond prices in the second half of this year. Joe Mac’s Market Viewpoint: U.S. Markets at Midyear →
Other Viewpoint Reports Joe Mac’s Market Viewpoint: CAPEX Booms! → Joe Mac’s Market Viewpoint: The Inflation Complication → |
Current MRP Themes |
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Major Data Points |
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Fed Says the Economy Looks Very Good The US economy is strong, unemployment is near 50-year lows, inflation is roughly at the 2 percent objective and the baseline outlook of forecasters inside and outside the Fed is for more of the same, Fed Chair Powell said during a speech at the National Association for Business Economics. The Fed Chair added that from the standpoint of contingency planning, the course is clear: conduct policy consistent with the FOMC’s symmetric 2 percent inflation objective, and stand ready to act if expectations drift materially up or down, signalling the Fed will likely continue to raise rates gradually. TE |
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ISM New York Index Eases in September The ISM New York Current Business Conditions index in the United States fell to 72.5 in September of 2018 from 76.5 in August, which was a new high since November of 2006. Both current (78.1 from 83.3) and expected revenues (78.1 from 87.5) slowed. On the other hand, employment rose faster (73.8 from 62), quantity of purchases increased (79.4 from 66.7) and prices paid eased (75 from 78.6). The Six-Month Outlook improved to 81.5 from 79.9, reaching the highest since December. TE |
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Brent Holds Steady at 4-Year High Brent crude traded near $85 per barrel on Tuesday, a level last seen in November 2014, amid looming US sanctions against Iran’s oil exports and related supply concerns. US crude has also hit a four-year high this morning, surging to nearly $76 per barrel. TE |
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Dow Jones Climbs to All-Time High Wall Street closed mixed on Tuesday 2 October 2018, as attention switched to US-China trade talks once the United States is set to sign a new trade deal with Canada and Mexico. The Dow Jones gained 123 points or 0.5% to close at a record high of 26774. In contrast, the S&P 500 inched down 1 points or less than 0.1% to 2923, while the Nasdaq retreated 38 points or 0.5% to 8000. TE |
Disruptive Change Updates |
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